Intro to Baye's Rule: A Tool for avoiding hipsters

Whenever we are confronted with a decisive moment, we think not only about our current situation, but reflect on our past experiences toward making the best decision we can.  Baye's rule provides us a quantitative way to make similar optimal decisions, but instead of using our memories and intuitions to estimate how probable different futures are, we use exact probabilities and thus get an exact estimate of the probability something will occur.  In the below video I go through an example showing how Baye's rule can be use to estimate the probability that you've just been confronted by a hipster.

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Introduction to Baye's Rule Video

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